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Red7
52718.7
53395.9
41824.7
Blue67
423027.9
298717.4
470315.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236304080100767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5271
#38
8.71.9
9.67.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.0
End0.1
blue by 19.2
27.91.6
20.722.3
Auto7.9
Teleop17.3
End2.7
Second
5339
#44
5.92.1
9.27.1
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End0.6
blue by 11.5
17.41.5
16.818.3
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End1.0
Third
4182
#53
4.71.9
7.05.0
Auto1.8
Teleop2.4
End0.5
blue by 10.5
4703
#24
15.21.6
14.716.4
Auto6.3
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed