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Red46
285515.7
308213.4
591315.6
Blue83
329718.9
171424.2
302316.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54593040507080904683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2855
#16
15.70.3
15.315.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End0.1
blue by 8.5
24.22.3
22.624.8
Auto11.5
Teleop11.5
End1.2
Second
15.60.3
17.817.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.5
End2.3
blue by 3.3
18.92.1
16.618.7
Auto7.5
Teleop6.4
End4.9
Third
3082
#22
13.40.3
15.915.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End1.1
blue by 3.2
3023
#14
16.62.1
13.415.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned