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Red37
41666.3
329718.9
249124.7
Blue63
320622.5
179219.7
226420.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36471020304060703763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.3
14.014.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.6
End3.3
red by 2.2
3206
#21
22.51.9
12.714.6
Auto9.8
Teleop10.3
End2.4
Second
18.90.3
11.511.9
Auto7.5
Teleop6.4
End4.9
blue by 1.4
2264
#23
20.21.9
15.116.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End1.4
Third
4166
#46
6.30.3
8.58.8
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 13.4
1792
#18
19.71.9
13.315.2
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed