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Red28
657410.0
388317.6
53395.9
Blue41
72737.1
341815.3
257415.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4436102030405060702841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#27
17.61.2
15.013.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End2.4
red by 1.9
2574
#15
15.80.4
11.811.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Second
6574
#55
10.01.2
14.613.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End1.5
blue by 5.4
3418
#33
15.30.4
12.111.7
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End2.8
Third
5339
#44
5.91.2
9.07.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End0.6
blue by 1.2
7273
#48
7.10.4
9.69.2
Auto4.0
Teleop1.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed