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Red73
478623.5
222713.8
313019.0
Blue13
41666.3
880310.7
60473.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6122040801007313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#12
23.51.8
22.123.9
Auto9.4
Teleop12.9
End1.2
red by 12.9
8803
#31
10.71.2
10.89.6
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End2.7
Second
3130
#29
19.01.8
15.917.6
Auto9.5
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 12.7
4166
#46
6.31.2
8.47.2
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Third
2227
#39
13.81.8
12.914.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End2.9
red by 10.1
6047
#52
3.61.3
5.54.2
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed