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Red51
614728.6
321211.5
251210.1
Blue24
17166.2
257415.8
388317.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464830405060705124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.9
21.922.7
Auto13.7
Teleop7.2
End7.7
red by 10.9
3883
#27
17.61.8
19.617.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End2.4
Second
3212
#42
11.50.9
11.112.0
Auto6.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
blue by 4.3
2574
#15
15.82.0
15.413.5
Auto5.3
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Third
2512
#34
10.10.9
9.710.6
Auto5.4
Teleop2.6
End2.1
red by 3.9
1716
#47
6.21.8
6.64.8
Auto3.1
Teleop1.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed