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Red45
247217.8
613210.0
675811.1
Blue43
72737.1
249124.7
284612.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35530204060804543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.7
15.616.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End1.8
blue by 6.9
24.70.8
24.023.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.6
End3.3
Second
6758
#49
11.10.6
8.89.4
Auto1.1
Teleop8.4
End1.5
blue by 1.4
2846
#20
12.40.8
13.913.1
Auto2.4
Teleop7.9
End2.2
Third
6132
#51
10.00.6
9.410.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.6
red by 2.8
7273
#48
7.10.7
7.97.1
Auto4.0
Teleop1.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned