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Red34
179219.7
18069.7
591315.6
Blue33
470315.2
604519.4
53395.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53480204060801003433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1792
#18
19.71.3
19.017.7
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End1.5
red by 0.3
6045
#19
19.41.1
21.019.9
Auto9.4
Teleop7.8
End2.3
Second
15.61.3
17.516.2
Auto5.8
Teleop7.5
End2.3
red by 0.4
4703
#24
15.21.2
16.415.2
Auto6.3
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Third
1806
#54
9.71.3
11.09.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End-0.0
red by 3.8
5339
#44
5.91.2
7.15.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed