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Red24
75309.2
41666.3
523218.9
Blue18
46238.6
761912.9
308213.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35480102030406070802418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5232
#17
18.90.9
16.115.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.5
End4.8
red by 5.5
3082
#22
13.42.3
15.613.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End1.1
Second
7530
#37
9.20.9
10.19.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.3
blue by 3.7
7619
#40
12.92.3
15.212.9
Auto5.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Third
4166
#46
6.30.9
7.26.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 2.4
4623
#36
8.62.5
11.18.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed59%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed