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Red60
249124.7
42298.5
171424.2
Blue42
812222.6
217513.9
251210.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6550204060801006042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.2
23.223.0
Auto6.8
Teleop14.6
End3.3
red by 2.1
8122
#11
22.60.5
22.221.7
Auto11.1
Teleop9.3
End2.1
Second
24.20.2
24.824.7
Auto11.5
Teleop11.5
End1.2
red by 10.3
2175
#35
13.90.5
14.413.9
Auto8.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Third
4229
#32
8.50.2
8.78.5
Auto5.6
Teleop1.9
End1.0
blue by 1.6
2512
#34
10.10.5
10.610.1
Auto5.4
Teleop2.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed