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Red68
247217.8
17166.2
423027.9
Blue58
320622.5
657410.0
572015.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485010203040607080906858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.91.5
22.323.9
Auto7.9
Teleop17.3
End2.7
red by 5.4
3206
#21
22.51.2
21.823.0
Auto9.8
Teleop10.3
End2.4
Second
17.81.4
16.217.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End1.8
red by 2.4
5720
#26
15.41.2
14.215.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Third
1716
#47
6.21.4
4.86.2
Auto3.1
Teleop1.4
End1.7
blue by 3.8
6574
#55
10.01.2
9.210.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed