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Red35
321211.5
60473.6
478623.5
Blue59
302316.6
52718.7
527516.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4542253035405055603559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#12
23.50.5
23.923.4
Auto9.4
Teleop12.9
End1.2
red by 6.9
3023
#14
16.61.0
15.516.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End1.0
Second
3212
#42
11.50.5
12.011.5
Auto6.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
blue by 5.1
5275
#28
16.61.0
15.416.4
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End2.6
Third
6047
#52
3.60.5
4.23.6
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.5
blue by 5.0
5271
#38
8.71.0
7.78.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed