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Red86
523218.9
614728.6
423027.9
Blue67
247217.8
478623.5
527516.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7761401001208667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.4
26.126.5
Auto13.7
Teleop7.2
End7.7
red by 5.0
4786
#12
23.50.3
23.223.5
Auto9.4
Teleop12.9
End1.2
Second
27.90.4
25.225.6
Auto7.9
Teleop17.3
End2.7
red by 10.1
17.80.3
17.517.8
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End1.8
Third
5232
#17
18.90.4
16.416.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.5
End4.8
red by 2.3
5275
#28
16.60.3
16.316.6
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End2.6