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Red65
313019.0
308213.4
329718.9
Blue74
812222.6
250117.1
206220.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56692040801001206574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#29
19.00.4
19.319.0
Auto9.5
Teleop7.9
End1.6
blue by 3.6
8122
#11
22.60.4
22.723.1
Auto11.1
Teleop9.3
End2.1
Second
18.90.4
19.218.9
Auto7.5
Teleop6.4
End4.9
blue by 1.6
20.50.4
20.621.0
Auto7.2
Teleop12.8
End0.5
Third
3082
#22
13.40.4
13.813.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End1.1
blue by 3.7
2501
#10
17.10.4
17.217.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End2.9