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Red49
171424.2
657410.0
604519.4
Blue41
284612.4
285515.7
591315.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63482030407080904941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.2
24.724.5
Auto11.5
Teleop11.5
End1.2
red by 8.5
2855
#16
15.70.1
16.316.1
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End0.1
Second
6045
#19
19.40.2
19.919.7
Auto9.4
Teleop7.8
End2.3
red by 3.8
15.60.1
16.216.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.5
End2.3
Third
6574
#55
10.00.2
10.410.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End1.5
blue by 2.5
2846
#20
12.40.1
13.112.9
Auto2.4
Teleop7.9
End2.2