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Red82
313019.0
308213.4
329718.9
Blue71
247217.8
478623.5
527516.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55652040801001208271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#29
19.00.5
18.719.2
Auto9.5
Teleop7.9
End1.6
blue by 4.6
4786
#12
23.50.4
23.423.8
Auto9.4
Teleop12.9
End1.2
Second
18.90.5
18.619.1
Auto7.5
Teleop6.4
End4.9
red by 1.1
17.80.4
17.618.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End1.8
Third
3082
#22
13.40.5
13.313.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End1.1
blue by 3.1
5275
#28
16.60.4
16.416.8
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End2.6