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Red30
591315.6
285515.7
284612.4
Blue60
247217.8
478623.5
527516.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4768204060801003060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2855
#16
15.70.5
16.115.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End0.1
blue by 7.9
4786
#12
23.50.6
23.823.2
Auto9.4
Teleop12.9
End1.2
Second
15.60.4
16.015.6
Auto5.8
Teleop7.5
End2.3
blue by 2.2
17.80.6
18.017.5
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End1.8
Third
2846
#20
12.40.5
12.912.4
Auto2.4
Teleop7.9
End2.2
blue by 4.1
5275
#28
16.60.6
16.816.3
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End2.6