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Red63
171424.2
657410.0
604519.4
Blue59
329718.9
302316.6
313019.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616045505565707580856359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.2
24.524.7
Auto11.5
Teleop11.5
End1.2
red by 5.2
3130
#29
19.00.1
19.219.3
Auto9.5
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Second
6045
#19
19.40.2
19.719.9
Auto9.4
Teleop7.8
End2.3
red by 0.6
18.90.1
19.119.2
Auto7.5
Teleop6.4
End4.9
Third
6574
#55
10.00.2
10.210.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End1.5
blue by 6.7
3023
#14
16.60.1
16.516.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End1.0