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Red49
590322.5
477816.8
63189.1
Blue81
534825.0
326714.1
400921.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33490204060804981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#13
22.51.9
13.515.4
Auto8.3
Teleop12.0
End2.2
blue by 2.5
5348
#12
25.04.3
16.320.6
Auto10.1
Teleop13.4
End1.5
Second
4778
#34
16.81.9
11.713.7
Auto7.9
Teleop7.4
End1.5
blue by 4.4
4009
#21
21.24.3
16.420.7
Auto9.7
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Third
6318
#36
9.11.9
6.38.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End0.5
blue by 5.0
3267
#31
14.14.3
9.814.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned