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Red57
779718.6
82985.7
297722.1
Blue17
329412.3
61606.5
51439.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3233102040505717

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.12.5
13.315.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.6
End1.8
red by 9.8
3294
#41
12.31.4
10.28.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Second
18.62.5
9.211.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.5
red by 9.5
5143
#33
9.01.4
6.55.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End2.0
Third
8298
#50
5.72.5
6.38.7
Auto1.7
Teleop2.3
End1.7
blue by 0.8
6160
#55
6.51.4
12.611.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed