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Red34
78649.5
417418.7
642121.4
Blue34
173227.0
418111.8
52789.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434120305060703434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#32
21.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End1.1
blue by 5.6
27.0
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End1.5
Second
4174
#24
18.7
Auto9.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
red by 6.9
4181
#35
11.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End0.7
Third
7864
#29
9.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.6
End1.4
red by 0.3
5278
#51
9.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed