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Red54
205222.3
319721.3
218117.1
Blue51
30559.5
9325.2
474112.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51340204060805451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.6
18.619.3
Auto9.7
Teleop9.2
End3.4
blue by 2.9
93
#11
25.21.8
13.315.0
Auto7.3
Teleop16.0
End1.9
Second
3197
#16
21.30.6
14.615.2
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End2.4
red by 9.0
4741
#19
12.31.8
10.812.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End3.6
Third
17.10.6
11.211.8
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End1.7
red by 7.6
3055
#48
9.51.8
9.110.9
Auto4.8
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned