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Red46
525313.9
218117.1
286116.9
Blue35
52789.2
88368.1
417418.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33371020304050604635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.11.3
11.813.1
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End1.7
blue by 1.6
4174
#24
18.70.2
11.211.5
Auto9.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
Second
2861
#38
16.91.3
10.511.8
Auto8.4
Teleop6.9
End1.7
red by 7.7
5278
#51
9.20.2
9.810.0
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End0.1
Third
5253
#27
13.91.3
9.711.1
Auto6.1
Teleop6.7
End1.1
red by 5.8
8836
#39
8.10.2
9.910.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed