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Red22
22395.0
565314.2
30559.5
Blue41
25269.7
93016.8
9325.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374810203060702241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5653
#28
14.22.0
10.48.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 11.0
93
#11
25.20.9
15.014.1
Auto7.3
Teleop16.0
End1.9
Second
3055
#48
9.52.0
10.98.9
Auto4.8
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 7.3
930
#10
16.80.9
15.414.4
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End1.5
Third
2239
#52
5.02.0
13.711.7
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End1.3
blue by 4.6
2526
#43
9.70.9
12.111.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed