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Red48
418111.8
282322.7
638120.8
Blue47
591417.6
779718.6
703811.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5035102030406070804847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.0
17.517.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End1.2
red by 4.1
18.61.5
11.713.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.5
Second
20.80.0
15.815.8
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End0.6
red by 3.2
5914
#30
17.61.5
11.112.6
Auto5.1
Teleop12.1
End0.4
Third
4181
#35
11.80.0
10.010.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End0.7
red by 0.3
7038
#40
11.51.5
10.412.0
Auto5.6
Teleop5.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed