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Red37
474112.3
621712.1
642121.4
Blue39
791515.8
40218.2
670919.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4739203050603739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#32
21.40.5
16.716.2
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End1.1
red by 2.4
6709
#17
19.00.3
12.713.0
Auto8.8
Teleop7.4
End2.9
Second
4741
#19
12.30.5
12.512.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End3.6
blue by 3.5
7915
#14
15.80.3
12.813.1
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Third
6217
#46
12.10.5
12.011.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End0.9
red by 3.8
4021
#54
8.20.3
10.711.0
Auto5.8
Teleop2.4
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed