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Red47
569023.8
401114.2
78649.5
Blue41
465612.0
205222.3
58267.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404301001502002503003504004741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#25
23.80.9
13.614.6
Auto7.8
Teleop13.8
End2.3
red by 1.6
22.30.0
19.319.3
Auto9.7
Teleop9.2
End3.4
Second
4011
#22
14.20.9
12.813.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End0.8
red by 2.2
4656
#20
12.00.0
10.210.2
Auto5.6
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Third
7864
#29
9.50.9
10.211.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.6
End1.4
red by 2.4
5826
#44
7.00.0
9.49.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned