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Red61
842215.7
218117.1
173227.0
Blue41
25037.3
534825.0
469313.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484220306070806141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.01.8
18.420.2
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End1.5
red by 2.0
5348
#12
25.00.1
20.620.7
Auto10.1
Teleop13.4
End1.5
Second
17.11.8
13.114.9
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End1.7
red by 3.8
4693
#23
13.30.1
10.310.3
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End0.6
Third
8422
#15
15.71.8
11.513.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.4
End2.7
red by 8.4
2503
#47
7.30.1
7.57.6
Auto4.2
Teleop1.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed