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Red38
401114.2
95328.0
40218.2
Blue75
590322.5
703811.5
173227.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315602040801003875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4011
#22
14.20.8
13.814.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End0.8
blue by 12.8
27.01.7
20.221.9
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End1.5
Second
4021
#54
8.20.8
11.011.7
Auto5.8
Teleop2.4
End-0.0
blue by 14.2
5903
#13
22.51.7
15.417.1
Auto8.3
Teleop12.0
End2.2
Third
9532
#53
8.00.8
6.47.2
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End1.7
blue by 3.6
7038
#40
11.51.7
12.013.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned