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Red56
451114.7
569023.8
326714.1
Blue37
621712.1
329412.3
706814.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44372060805637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#25
23.81.0
14.615.5
Auto7.8
Teleop13.8
End2.3
red by 9.4
7068
#45
14.50.3
13.814.2
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End1.4
Second
4511
#26
14.71.0
10.711.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End1.1
red by 2.4
3294
#41
12.30.3
8.89.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Third
3267
#31
14.11.0
14.015.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End0.9
red by 2.0
6217
#46
12.10.3
11.511.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed