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Red52
465612.0
400921.2
286116.9
Blue73
319721.3
474112.3
779718.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46453040506070805273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#21
21.20.9
20.721.7
Auto9.7
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Level
3197
#16
21.32.1
16.618.6
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End2.4
Second
2861
#38
16.90.9
11.812.8
Auto8.4
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 1.7
18.62.1
13.215.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.5
Third
4656
#20
12.00.9
8.99.9
Auto5.6
Teleop4.9
End1.4
blue by 0.3
4741
#19
12.32.1
10.812.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed