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Red46
205222.3
93016.8
63189.1
Blue24
32919.0
842215.7
88368.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513201020406070804624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.2
20.620.8
Auto9.7
Teleop9.2
End3.4
red by 6.6
8422
#15
15.71.9
13.211.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.4
End2.7
Second
930
#10
16.80.2
15.115.4
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End1.5
red by 7.8
3291
#37
9.01.9
10.78.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Third
6318
#36
9.10.2
8.48.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End0.5
red by 1.0
8836
#39
8.11.9
7.15.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed