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Red36
82985.7
525313.9
400921.2
Blue54
282322.7
401114.2
284718.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445810203040507080903654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#21
21.20.6
21.721.0
Auto9.7
Teleop9.4
End2.2
blue by 1.4
22.71.3
18.917.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End1.2
Second
5253
#27
13.90.6
11.811.2
Auto6.1
Teleop6.7
End1.1
blue by 4.9
18.81.3
17.616.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.1
End2.8
Third
8298
#50
5.70.6
8.17.5
Auto1.7
Teleop2.3
End1.7
blue by 8.5
4011
#22
14.21.3
14.513.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed