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Red70
297722.1
590322.5
565314.2
Blue36
706814.5
78649.5
791515.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474430354050556065707036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#13
22.52.3
17.119.4
Auto8.3
Teleop12.0
End2.2
red by 6.7
7915
#14
15.80.5
14.714.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Second
22.12.3
15.918.2
Auto5.7
Teleop14.6
End1.8
red by 7.6
7068
#45
14.50.5
14.213.7
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End1.4
Third
5653
#28
14.22.3
9.411.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End0.0
red by 4.7
7864
#29
9.50.5
11.310.9
Auto4.5
Teleop3.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed