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Red54
779718.6
451114.7
469313.3
Blue50
30559.5
591417.6
462411.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434002060801005450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.61.7
15.317.0
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.5
red by 1.0
5914
#30
17.61.5
15.416.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.1
End0.4
Second
4511
#26
14.71.7
11.713.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End1.1
red by 3.0
4624
#42
11.71.5
12.113.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End0.4
Third
4693
#23
13.31.7
11.613.4
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End0.6
red by 3.8
3055
#48
9.51.5
9.110.6
Auto4.8
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed