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Red74
32919.0
205222.3
779718.6
Blue43
417418.7
706814.5
25269.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534102060801007443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.32.1
20.822.8
Auto9.7
Teleop9.2
End3.4
red by 3.6
4174
#24
18.70.3
13.914.2
Auto9.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
Second
18.62.1
17.019.0
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.5
red by 4.1
7068
#45
14.50.3
13.714.0
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End1.4
Third
3291
#37
9.02.1
8.810.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 0.7
2526
#43
9.70.3
11.011.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed