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Red46
78649.5
282322.7
469313.3
Blue20
40218.2
326714.1
61606.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473902060804620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.2
17.517.8
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End1.2
red by 8.6
3267
#31
14.11.8
14.312.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Second
4693
#23
13.30.2
13.413.6
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End0.6
red by 5.1
4021
#54
8.21.8
12.110.3
Auto5.8
Teleop2.4
End-0.0
Third
7864
#29
9.50.2
10.911.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.6
End1.4
red by 2.9
6160
#55
6.51.8
9.57.8
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed