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Red49
82985.7
590322.5
591417.6
Blue51
218117.1
465612.0
477816.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50412030607080904951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#13
22.50.6
19.420.0
Auto8.3
Teleop12.0
End2.2
red by 5.3
17.11.4
15.617.0
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End1.7
Second
5914
#30
17.60.6
16.917.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.1
End0.4
red by 0.8
4778
#34
16.81.4
12.513.9
Auto7.9
Teleop7.4
End1.5
Third
8298
#50
5.70.6
7.58.0
Auto1.7
Teleop2.3
End1.7
blue by 6.2
4656
#20
12.01.4
9.911.3
Auto5.6
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed