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Red43
706814.5
61606.5
590322.5
Blue52
842215.7
638120.8
22395.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242384044464850524352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#13
22.50.5
13.013.5
Auto8.3
Teleop12.0
End2.2
red by 1.6
20.81.0
14.815.8
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End0.6
Second
7068
#45
14.50.5
13.113.7
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End1.4
blue by 1.2
8422
#15
15.71.0
10.411.4
Auto5.5
Teleop7.4
End2.7
Third
6160
#55
6.50.5
12.112.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End0.7
red by 1.5
2239
#52
5.01.0
12.613.7
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed