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Red79
534825.0
181625.3
282322.7
Blue8
565314.2
95328.0
63189.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49320102040607080798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.33.3
15.018.3
Auto8.4
Teleop15.8
End1.1
red by 11.1
5653
#28
14.22.6
12.910.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End0.0
Second
5348
#12
25.03.3
13.016.3
Auto10.1
Teleop13.4
End1.5
red by 15.9
6318
#36
9.12.6
8.96.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End0.5
Third
22.73.3
14.217.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End1.2
red by 14.7
9532
#53
8.01.4
8.06.6
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed