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Red48
319721.3
525313.9
591417.6
Blue75
569023.8
93016.8
173227.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51684060801004875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#16
21.30.0
19.619.6
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End2.4
blue by 5.7
27.01.2
25.026.1
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End1.5
Second
5914
#30
17.60.0
17.017.0
Auto5.1
Teleop12.1
End0.4
blue by 6.3
5690
#25
23.81.2
18.319.4
Auto7.8
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Third
5253
#27
13.90.0
11.211.2
Auto6.1
Teleop6.7
End1.1
blue by 2.9
930
#10
16.81.2
16.417.5
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed