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Red51
851613.6
417418.7
30559.5
Blue61
474112.3
590322.5
284718.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3859020801005161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4174
#24
18.71.6
15.517.0
Auto9.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
blue by 3.7
5903
#13
22.51.2
21.022.2
Auto8.3
Teleop12.0
End2.2
Second
8516
#49
13.61.6
11.813.4
Auto7.8
Teleop5.5
End0.3
blue by 5.2
18.81.2
17.919.1
Auto6.9
Teleop9.1
End2.8
Third
3055
#48
9.51.6
9.611.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 2.7
4741
#19
12.31.2
11.512.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned