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Red48
52789.2
40218.2
534825.0
Blue51
401114.2
779718.6
791515.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465502040801004851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5348
#12
25.00.5
25.925.4
Auto10.1
Teleop13.4
End1.5
red by 6.4
18.60.2
19.119.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.5
Second
5278
#51
9.20.5
7.36.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End0.1
blue by 6.6
7915
#14
15.80.2
15.816.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Third
4021
#54
8.20.5
9.58.9
Auto5.8
Teleop2.4
End-0.0
blue by 6.0
4011
#22
14.20.2
13.814.1
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed