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Red81
326714.1
181625.3
418111.8
Blue46
61606.5
286116.9
25269.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54320204060808146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.32.5
23.225.7
Auto8.4
Teleop15.8
End1.1
red by 8.4
2861
#38
16.90.0
13.913.9
Auto8.4
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Second
3267
#31
14.12.5
12.915.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End0.9
red by 4.4
2526
#43
9.70.0
10.010.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Third
4181
#35
11.82.5
10.412.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End0.7
red by 5.2
6160
#55
6.50.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned