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Red20
253117.1
22395.0
82985.7
Blue52
286116.9
642121.4
842215.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28520204060802052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2531
#18
17.10.8
16.315.4
Auto7.2
Teleop7.3
End2.5
blue by 4.3
6421
#32
21.40.9
16.517.3
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Second
8298
#50
5.70.8
6.25.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.3
End1.7
blue by 11.2
2861
#38
16.90.8
13.914.7
Auto8.4
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Third
2239
#52
5.00.8
5.74.8
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End1.3
blue by 10.6
8422
#15
15.70.8
14.014.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed