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Red32
88368.1
61606.5
319721.3
Blue39
51439.0
451114.7
401114.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374302060803239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#16
21.30.2
19.619.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End2.4
red by 6.6
4511
#26
14.70.1
14.614.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End1.1
Second
8836
#39
8.10.2
7.37.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End1.0
blue by 6.1
4011
#22
14.20.1
14.114.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End0.8
Third
6160
#55
6.50.2
7.37.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End0.7
blue by 2.5
5143
#33
9.00.1
9.29.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed