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Red51
474112.3
95328.0
569023.8
Blue29
462411.7
32919.0
82985.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46250204060805129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#25
23.81.0
20.921.8
Auto7.8
Teleop13.8
End2.3
red by 12.2
4624
#42
11.70.3
11.311.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End0.4
Second
4741
#19
12.31.0
11.212.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End3.6
red by 3.3
3291
#37
9.00.3
8.89.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Third
9532
#53
8.01.0
7.08.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End1.7
red by 2.2
8298
#50
5.70.3
5.45.7
Auto1.7
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed