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Red51
469313.3
286116.9
670919.0
Blue51
9325.2
401114.2
706814.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5158304070805151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6709
#17
19.0
Auto8.8
Teleop7.4
End2.9
blue by 6.1
93
#11
25.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.0
End1.9
Second
2861
#38
16.9
Auto8.4
Teleop6.9
End1.7
red by 2.4
7068
#45
14.5
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End1.4
Third
4693
#23
13.3
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End0.6
blue by 0.9
4011
#22
14.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed