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Red38
779718.6
25269.7
51439.0
Blue68
590322.5
642121.4
525313.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4057102030507080903868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.60.2
19.118.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.5
blue by 3.9
5903
#13
22.51.8
20.322.0
Auto8.3
Teleop12.0
End2.2
Second
2526
#43
9.70.2
9.99.7
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 11.7
6421
#32
21.41.9
17.319.2
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Third
5143
#33
9.00.2
9.39.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End2.0
blue by 4.8
5253
#27
13.91.8
12.113.9
Auto6.1
Teleop6.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed