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Red59
88368.1
173227.0
591417.6
Blue29
565314.2
621712.1
61606.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563502040805929

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.01.1
24.825.9
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End1.5
red by 12.8
5653
#28
14.20.5
15.014.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End0.0
Second
5914
#30
17.61.0
16.617.6
Auto5.1
Teleop12.1
End0.4
red by 5.5
6217
#46
12.10.5
12.411.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End0.9
Third
8836
#39
8.11.0
7.18.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End1.0
red by 1.6
6160
#55
6.50.5
7.16.5
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed